Event

Back to all events

NCAAFOct 17, 2026 3:30 PM EDT9 days out

Alabama Crimson Tide at Tennessee Volunteers

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Alabama Crimson Tide

60.2%win probability-151 equivalentProbability rising+7.6

Opened at 52.2%, has ranged 52.2 to 60.2%, and sits at 60.2% now — +7.6 against its 10-day average.

Opened
52.2%
Range
52.2 to 60.2%
Band
8.1 points
Readings
54
Alabama Crimson Tide win probabilityProbability10-day average
51%54%56%59%61%60.2%Sep 21Oct 854 readings
Home

Tennessee Volunteers

39.8%win probability+151 equivalentProbability falling-7.6

Opened at 47.9%, has ranged 39.8 to 47.9%, and sits at 39.8% now — -7.6 against its 10-day average.

Opened
47.9%
Range
39.8 to 47.9%
Band
8.1 points
Readings
54
Tennessee Volunteers win probabilityProbability10-day average
39%41%44%46%49%39.8%Sep 21Oct 854 readings

History includes 20 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.