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NCAAFOct 10, 2026 12:00 PM EDT0 days out

UCF Knights at Oklahoma State Cowboys

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

UCF Knights

45.7%win probability+119 equivalentProbability rising+0.2

Opened at 45.5%, has ranged 45.5 to 45.7%, and sits at 45.7% now — +0.2 against its 10-day average.

Opened
45.5%
Range
45.5 to 45.7%
Band
0.3 points
Readings
78
UCF Knights win probabilityProbability10-day average
42%44%46%48%49%45.7%Sep 21Oct 1078 readings
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Oklahoma State Cowboys

54.3%win probability-119 equivalentProbability falling-0.2

Opened at 54.6%, has ranged 54.3 to 54.6%, and sits at 54.3% now — -0.2 against its 10-day average.

Opened
54.6%
Range
54.3 to 54.6%
Band
0.3 points
Readings
78
Oklahoma State Cowboys win probabilityProbability10-day average
51%52%54%56%58%54.3%Sep 21Oct 1078 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.