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NCAAFOct 10, 2026 3:30 PM EDT0 days out

Houston Cougars at Kansas State Wildcats

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Houston Cougars

51.4%win probability-106 equivalentProbability rising+5.1

Opened at 45.1%, has ranged 45.1 to 51.6%, and sits at 51.4% now — +5.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
45.1%
Range
45.1 to 51.6%
Band
6.6 points
Readings
77
Houston Cougars win probabilityProbability10-day average
44%46%48%50%53%51.4%Sep 21Oct 977 readings
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Kansas State Wildcats

48.6%win probability+106 equivalentProbability falling-5.1

Opened at 55.0%, has ranged 48.4 to 55.0%, and sits at 48.6% now — -5.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
55.0%
Range
48.4 to 55.0%
Band
6.6 points
Readings
77
Kansas State Wildcats win probabilityProbability10-day average
47%50%52%54%56%48.6%Sep 21Oct 977 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.