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NCAAFOct 17, 2026 12:00 PM EDT8 days out

Kansas Jayhawks at Kansas State Wildcats

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Kansas Jayhawks

39.7%win probability+152 equivalentProbability rising+11.2

Opened at 27.9%, has ranged 27.9 to 39.7%, and sits at 39.7% now — +11.2 against its 10-day average.

Opened
27.9%
Range
27.9 to 39.7%
Band
11.8 points
Readings
34
Kansas Jayhawks win probabilityProbability10-day average
26%30%34%38%41%39.7%Sep 21Oct 834 readings
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Kansas State Wildcats

60.3%win probability-152 equivalentProbability falling-11.2

Opened at 72.1%, has ranged 60.3 to 72.1%, and sits at 60.3% now — -11.2 against its 10-day average.

Opened
72.1%
Range
60.3 to 72.1%
Band
11.8 points
Readings
34
Kansas State Wildcats win probabilityProbability10-day average
59%62%66%70%74%60.3%Sep 21Oct 834 readings