North Carolina Tar Heels at Pittsburgh Panthers
How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
North Carolina Tar Heels
35.1%win probability+185 equivalentProbability rising+1.2
Opened at 33.6%, has ranged 33.5 to 35.1%, and sits at 35.1% now — +1.2 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 33.6%
- Range
- 33.5 to 35.1%
- Band
- 1.6 points
- Readings
- 78
North Carolina Tar Heels win probabilityProbability10-day average
Pittsburgh Panthers
64.9%win probability-185 equivalentProbability falling-1.2
Opened at 66.4%, has ranged 64.9 to 66.5%, and sits at 64.9% now — -1.2 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 66.4%
- Range
- 64.9 to 66.5%
- Band
- 1.6 points
- Readings
- 78
Pittsburgh Panthers win probabilityProbability10-day average
History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.