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NCAAFOct 10, 2026 7:30 PM EDT1 days out

Syracuse Orange at Virginia Cavaliers

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Syracuse Orange

34.3%win probability+192 equivalentProbability rising+2.4

Opened at 31.7%, has ranged 31.7 to 34.3%, and sits at 34.3% now — +2.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
31.7%
Range
31.7 to 34.3%
Band
2.7 points
Readings
72
Syracuse Orange win probabilityProbability10-day average
29%31%33%35%37%34.3%Sep 21Oct 872 readings
Home

Virginia Cavaliers

65.7%win probability-192 equivalentProbability falling-2.3

Opened at 68.4%, has ranged 65.7 to 68.4%, and sits at 65.7% now — -2.3 against its 10-day average.

Opened
68.4%
Range
65.7 to 68.4%
Band
2.6 points
Readings
72
Virginia Cavaliers win probabilityProbability10-day average
63%65%67%69%71%65.7%Sep 21Oct 872 readings

History includes 37 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.