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NCAAFOct 17, 2026 7:00 PM EDT9 days out

Florida State Seminoles at Miami Hurricanes

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Florida State Seminoles

21.2%win probability+372 equivalentProbability falling-0.5

Opened at 21.7%, has ranged 21.2 to 21.7%, and sits at 21.2% now — -0.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
21.7%
Range
21.2 to 21.7%
Band
0.5 points
Readings
54
Florida State Seminoles win probabilityProbability10-day average
18%20%21%23%25%21.2%Sep 21Oct 854 readings
Home

Miami Hurricanes

78.8%win probability-372 equivalentProbability rising+0.5

Opened at 78.3%, has ranged 78.3 to 78.8%, and sits at 78.8% now — +0.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
78.3%
Range
78.3 to 78.8%
Band
0.5 points
Readings
54
Miami Hurricanes win probabilityProbability10-day average
75%77%79%80%82%78.8%Sep 21Oct 854 readings

History includes 20 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.