North Carolina Tar Heels at UConn Huskies
How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
North Carolina Tar Heels
69.2%win probability-225 equivalentProbability rising+0.3
Opened at 63.9%, has ranged 63.9 to 69.2%, and sits at 69.2% now — +0.3 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 63.9%
- Range
- 63.9 to 69.2%
- Band
- 5.3 points
- Readings
- 45
North Carolina Tar Heels win probabilityProbability10-day average
UConn Huskies
30.8%win probability+225 equivalentProbability falling-0.3
Opened at 36.1%, has ranged 30.8 to 36.1%, and sits at 30.8% now — -0.3 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 36.1%
- Range
- 30.8 to 36.1%
- Band
- 5.3 points
- Readings
- 45
UConn Huskies win probabilityProbability10-day average
History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.