Illinois Fighting Illini at Michigan State Spartans
How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Illinois Fighting Illini
51.3%win probability-105 equivalentProbability rising+2.3
Opened at 48.5%, has ranged 48.5 to 51.3%, and sits at 51.3% now — +2.3 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 48.5%
- Range
- 48.5 to 51.3%
- Band
- 2.8 points
- Readings
- 76
Illinois Fighting Illini win probabilityProbability10-day average
Michigan State Spartans
48.7%win probability+105 equivalentProbability falling-2.3
Opened at 51.5%, has ranged 48.7 to 51.5%, and sits at 48.7% now — -2.3 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 51.5%
- Range
- 48.7 to 51.5%
- Band
- 2.8 points
- Readings
- 76
Michigan State Spartans win probabilityProbability10-day average
History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.