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NCAAFOct 10, 2026 12:30 PM EDT1 days out

Ball State Cardinals at Northwestern Wildcats

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Ball State Cardinals

6.5%win probability+1438 equivalentProbability falling-2.1

Opened at 9.1%, has ranged 6.3 to 9.1%, and sits at 6.5% now — -2.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
9.1%
Range
6.3 to 9.1%
Band
2.8 points
Readings
76
Ball State Cardinals win probabilityProbability10-day average
4%6%8%10%12%6.5%Sep 21Oct 976 readings
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Northwestern Wildcats

93.6%win probability-1463 equivalentProbability rising+2.2

Opened at 90.9%, has ranged 90.9 to 93.7%, and sits at 93.6% now — +2.2 against its 10-day average.

Opened
90.9%
Range
90.9 to 93.7%
Band
2.8 points
Readings
76
Northwestern Wildcats win probabilityProbability10-day average
88%90%92%94%96%93.6%Sep 21Oct 976 readings

History includes 39 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.