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NCAAFOct 10, 2026 8:00 PM EDT1 days out

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Purdue Boilermakers

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Minnesota Golden Gophers

51.5%win probability-106 equivalentProbability rising+1.3

Opened at 50.0%, has ranged 50.0 to 51.5%, and sits at 51.5% now — +1.3 against its 10-day average.

Opened
50.0%
Range
50.0 to 51.5%
Band
1.5 points
Readings
76
Minnesota Golden Gophers win probabilityProbability10-day average
47%49%51%53%55%51.5%Sep 21Oct 976 readings
Home

Purdue Boilermakers

48.5%win probability+106 equivalentProbability falling-1.3

Opened at 50.0%, has ranged 48.5 to 50.0%, and sits at 48.5% now — -1.3 against its 10-day average.

Opened
50.0%
Range
48.5 to 50.0%
Band
1.5 points
Readings
76
Purdue Boilermakers win probabilityProbability10-day average
45%47%49%51%53%48.5%Sep 21Oct 976 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.