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NCAAFOct 31, 2026 12:00 AM EDT21 days out

Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa Hawkeyes

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Wisconsin Badgers

43.2%win probability+131 equivalentProbability rising+0.6

Opened at 33.8%, has ranged 33.8 to 43.3%, and sits at 43.2% now — +0.6 against its 10-day average.

Opened
33.8%
Range
33.8 to 43.3%
Band
9.5 points
Readings
45
Wisconsin Badgers win probabilityProbability10-day average
32%35%39%42%45%43.2%Oct 8Oct 945 readings
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Iowa Hawkeyes

56.8%win probability-131 equivalentProbability falling-0.6

Opened at 66.2%, has ranged 56.7 to 66.3%, and sits at 56.8% now — -0.6 against its 10-day average.

Opened
66.2%
Range
56.7 to 66.3%
Band
9.6 points
Readings
45
Iowa Hawkeyes win probabilityProbability10-day average
55%58%62%65%68%56.8%Oct 8Oct 945 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.