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NCAAFOct 31, 2026 10:00 PM EDT23 days out

Texas State Bobcats at Boise State Broncos

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Texas State Bobcats

24.2%win probability+313 equivalentProbability falling-0.2

Opened at 25.5%, has ranged 24.2 to 25.5%, and sits at 24.2% now — -0.2 against its 10-day average.

Opened
25.5%
Range
24.2 to 25.5%
Band
1.4 points
Readings
16
Texas State Bobcats win probabilityProbability10-day average
21%23%25%27%29%24.2%Oct 8Oct 816 readings
Home

Boise State Broncos

75.8%win probability-313 equivalentProbability rising+0.2

Opened at 74.5%, has ranged 74.5 to 75.9%, and sits at 75.8% now — +0.2 against its 10-day average.

Opened
74.5%
Range
74.5 to 75.9%
Band
1.4 points
Readings
16
Boise State Broncos win probabilityProbability10-day average
71%73%75%77%79%75.8%Oct 8Oct 816 readings

History includes 14 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.