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NCAAFOct 31, 2026 10:00 PM EDT23 days out

Texas State Bobcats at Boise State Broncos

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.

Overall Analysis

Texas State Bobcats at Boise State Broncos

Ayght Sports puts Texas State Bobcats at 24.2 percent and Boise State Broncos at 75.8 percent, a clear separation in favour of Boise State Broncos. Since first published, Texas State Bobcats has moved from 25.5 to 24.2 percent and Boise State Broncos from 74.5 to 75.8 percent. That is a moderate shift over the recorded period. Model confidence on this matchup is 43 of 100.

Assembled from recorded model output only. It describes what has been published and how likely outcomes are currently considered — it is not a prediction of the result. Lineup and availability information reflects what our data providers have reported; where nothing is listed, nothing has been reported, which is not the same as confirmed availability.