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NCAAFOct 31, 2026 3:00 PM EDT23 days out

UConn Huskies at Air Force Falcons

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

UConn Huskies

42.2%win probability+137 equivalentProbability falling-1.8

Opened at 45.9%, has ranged 42.2 to 45.9%, and sits at 42.2% now — -1.8 against its 10-day average.

Opened
45.9%
Range
42.2 to 45.9%
Band
3.7 points
Readings
6
UConn Huskies win probabilityProbability10-day average
40%42%44%46%48%42.2%Oct 8Oct 86 readings
Home

Air Force Falcons

57.9%win probability-138 equivalentProbability rising+1.9

Opened at 54.1%, has ranged 54.1 to 57.9%, and sits at 57.9% now — +1.9 against its 10-day average.

Opened
54.1%
Range
54.1 to 57.9%
Band
3.8 points
Readings
6
Air Force Falcons win probabilityProbability10-day average
52%54%56%58%60%57.9%Oct 8Oct 86 readings

History includes 4 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.