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NCAAFOct 8, 2026 7:30 PM EDT0 days out

South Florida Bulls at UTSA Roadrunners

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

South Florida Bulls

49.9%win probability+100 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 48.3%, has ranged 48.2 to 52.6%, and sits at 49.9% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
48.3%
Range
48.2 to 52.6%
Band
4.4 points
Readings
71
South Florida Bulls win probabilityProbability10-day average
47%48%50%52%54%49.9%Sep 10Oct 871 readings
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UTSA Roadrunners

50.1%win probability-100 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 51.7%, has ranged 47.4 to 51.8%, and sits at 50.1% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
51.7%
Range
47.4 to 51.8%
Band
4.4 points
Readings
71
UTSA Roadrunners win probabilityProbability10-day average
46%48%50%52%53%50.1%Sep 10Oct 871 readings

History includes 16 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.