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NCAAFOct 10, 2026 4:00 PM EDT1 days out

Rice Owls at East Carolina Pirates

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Rice Owls

32.0%win probability+213 equivalentProbability rising+0.6

Opened at 31.4%, has ranged 31.3 to 32.0%, and sits at 32.0% now — +0.6 against its 10-day average.

Opened
31.4%
Range
31.3 to 32.0%
Band
0.7 points
Readings
77
Rice Owls win probabilityProbability10-day average
28%30%32%34%36%32.0%Sep 21Oct 977 readings
Home

East Carolina Pirates

68.0%win probability-213 equivalentProbability falling-0.6

Opened at 68.7%, has ranged 68.0 to 68.7%, and sits at 68.0% now — -0.6 against its 10-day average.

Opened
68.7%
Range
68.0 to 68.7%
Band
0.7 points
Readings
77
East Carolina Pirates win probabilityProbability10-day average
64%66%68%70%72%68.0%Sep 21Oct 977 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.