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NCAAFOct 10, 2026 12:00 AM EDT2 days out

UAB Blazers at Memphis Tigers

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

UAB Blazers

24.1%win probability+315 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 24.1%, has ranged 24.1 to 24.1%, and sits at 24.1% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
24.1%
Range
24.1 to 24.1%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
31
UAB Blazers win probabilityProbability10-day average
20%22%24%26%28%24.1%Sep 21Oct 731 readings
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Memphis Tigers

75.9%win probability-315 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 75.9%, has ranged 75.9 to 75.9%, and sits at 75.9% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
75.9%
Range
75.9 to 75.9%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
31
Memphis Tigers win probabilityProbability10-day average
72%74%76%78%80%75.9%Sep 21Oct 731 readings