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NCAAFOct 10, 2026 7:00 PM EDT2 days out

UAB Blazers at Memphis Tigers

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

UAB Blazers

20.1%win probability+398 equivalentProbability falling-3.8

Opened at 24.2%, has ranged 20.1 to 24.2%, and sits at 20.1% now — -3.8 against its 10-day average.

Opened
24.2%
Range
20.1 to 24.2%
Band
4.1 points
Readings
50
UAB Blazers win probabilityProbability10-day average
18%20%22%24%26%20.1%Sep 21Oct 850 readings
Home

Memphis Tigers

79.9%win probability-398 equivalentProbability rising+3.8

Opened at 75.9%, has ranged 75.9 to 79.9%, and sits at 79.9% now — +3.8 against its 10-day average.

Opened
75.9%
Range
75.9 to 79.9%
Band
4.1 points
Readings
50
Memphis Tigers win probabilityProbability10-day average
74%76%78%80%82%79.9%Sep 21Oct 850 readings

History includes 16 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.