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NCAAFOct 15, 2026 7:30 PM EDT6 days out

East Carolina Pirates at UAB Blazers

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

East Carolina Pirates

61.7%win probability-161 equivalentProbability falling-1.1

Opened at 63.1%, has ranged 61.7 to 63.1%, and sits at 61.7% now — -1.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
63.1%
Range
61.7 to 63.1%
Band
1.4 points
Readings
76
East Carolina Pirates win probabilityProbability10-day average
58%60%62%64%66%61.8%Sep 21Oct 976 readings
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UAB Blazers

38.3%win probability+161 equivalentProbability rising+1.1

Opened at 36.9%, has ranged 36.9 to 38.3%, and sits at 38.3% now — +1.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
36.9%
Range
36.9 to 38.3%
Band
1.4 points
Readings
76
UAB Blazers win probabilityProbability10-day average
34%36%38%40%42%38.2%Sep 21Oct 976 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.