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NCAAFOct 17, 2026 8:00 PM EDT9 days out

Navy Midshipmen at UTSA Roadrunners

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.

Overall Analysis

Navy Midshipmen at UTSA Roadrunners

Ayght Sports puts Navy Midshipmen at 36.0 percent and UTSA Roadrunners at 64.1 percent, a clear separation in favour of UTSA Roadrunners. Since first published, Navy Midshipmen has moved from 39.5 to 36.0 percent and UTSA Roadrunners from 60.5 to 64.1 percent. That is a moderate shift over the recorded period. Model confidence on this matchup is 36 of 100.

Assembled from recorded model output only. It describes what has been published and how likely outcomes are currently considered — it is not a prediction of the result. Lineup and availability information reflects what our data providers have reported; where nothing is listed, nothing has been reported, which is not the same as confirmed availability.