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NCAAFOct 22, 2026 7:30 PM EDT14 days out

East Carolina Pirates at Memphis Tigers

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

East Carolina Pirates

32.6%win probability+207 equivalentProbability falling-6.7

Opened at 39.3%, has ranged 32.6 to 39.3%, and sits at 32.6% now — -6.7 since first published.

Opened
39.3%
Range
32.6 to 39.3%
Band
6.7 points
Readings
2
East Carolina Pirates win probabilityProbability
32%34%36%38%40%32.6%Oct 8Oct 82 readings
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Memphis Tigers

67.4%win probability-207 equivalentProbability rising+6.7

Opened at 60.7%, has ranged 60.7 to 67.4%, and sits at 67.4% now — +6.7 since first published.

Opened
60.7%
Range
60.7 to 67.4%
Band
6.7 points
Readings
2
Memphis Tigers win probabilityProbability
60%62%64%66%68%67.4%Oct 8Oct 82 readings