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NCAAFOct 10, 2026 3:30 PM EDT1 days out

Buffalo Bulls at Toledo Rockets

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Buffalo Bulls

21.0%win probability+376 equivalentProbability falling-1.9

Opened at 23.3%, has ranged 21.0 to 23.3%, and sits at 21.0% now — -1.9 against its 10-day average.

Opened
23.3%
Range
21.0 to 23.3%
Band
2.3 points
Readings
77
Buffalo Bulls win probabilityProbability10-day average
18%20%22%24%26%21.0%Sep 21Oct 977 readings
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Toledo Rockets

79.0%win probability-376 equivalentProbability rising+1.9

Opened at 76.7%, has ranged 76.7 to 79.0%, and sits at 79.0% now — +1.9 against its 10-day average.

Opened
76.7%
Range
76.7 to 79.0%
Band
2.3 points
Readings
77
Toledo Rockets win probabilityProbability10-day average
74%76%78%80%82%79.0%Sep 21Oct 977 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.