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NCAAFOct 10, 2026 2:00 PM EDT0 days out

Miami (OH) RedHawks at Massachusetts Minutemen

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Miami (OH) RedHawks

50.7%win probability-103 equivalentProbability falling-0.1

Opened at 50.7%, has ranged 50.7 to 50.8%, and sits at 50.7% now — -0.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
50.7%
Range
50.7 to 50.8%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
77
Miami (OH) RedHawks win probabilityProbability10-day average
47%49%51%53%55%50.7%Sep 21Oct 1077 readings
Home

Massachusetts Minutemen

49.3%win probability+103 equivalentProbability rising+0.1

Opened at 49.3%, has ranged 49.2 to 49.3%, and sits at 49.3% now — +0.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
49.3%
Range
49.2 to 49.3%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
77
Massachusetts Minutemen win probabilityProbability10-day average
45%47%49%51%53%49.3%Sep 21Oct 1077 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.