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NCAAFOct 17, 2026 3:30 PM EDT8 days out

Toledo Rockets at Eastern Michigan Eagles

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Toledo Rockets

69.7%win probability-230 equivalentProbability falling-3.9

Opened at 73.8%, has ranged 69.7 to 73.8%, and sits at 69.7% now — -3.9 against its 10-day average.

Opened
73.8%
Range
69.7 to 73.8%
Band
4.1 points
Readings
58
Toledo Rockets win probabilityProbability10-day average
68%70%72%74%76%69.7%Sep 21Oct 858 readings
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Eastern Michigan Eagles

30.3%win probability+230 equivalentProbability rising+3.9

Opened at 26.2%, has ranged 26.2 to 30.3%, and sits at 30.3% now — +3.9 against its 10-day average.

Opened
26.2%
Range
26.2 to 30.3%
Band
4.1 points
Readings
58
Eastern Michigan Eagles win probabilityProbability10-day average
24%26%28%30%32%30.3%Sep 21Oct 858 readings

History includes 24 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.