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NCAAFOct 10, 2026 1:00 PM EDT0 days out

Old Dominion Monarchs at App State Mountaineers

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Old Dominion Monarchs

34.1%win probability+193 equivalentProbability falling-5.8

Opened at 41.7%, has ranged 34.0 to 41.7%, and sits at 34.1% now — -5.8 against its 10-day average.

Opened
41.7%
Range
34.0 to 41.7%
Band
7.7 points
Readings
78
Old Dominion Monarchs win probabilityProbability10-day average
33%35%38%40%43%34.1%Sep 21Oct 1078 readings
Home

App State Mountaineers

65.9%win probability-193 equivalentProbability rising+5.8

Opened at 58.3%, has ranged 58.3 to 66.0%, and sits at 65.9% now — +5.8 against its 10-day average.

Opened
58.3%
Range
58.3 to 66.0%
Band
7.7 points
Readings
78
App State Mountaineers win probabilityProbability10-day average
57%60%62%65%67%65.9%Sep 21Oct 1078 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.