Event

Back to all events

NCAAFOct 24, 2026 7:00 PM EDT16 days out

Georgia State Panthers at Arkansas State Red Wolves

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Georgia State Panthers

55.4%win probability-124 equivalentProbability rising+1.5

Opened at 48.1%, has ranged 48.1 to 55.4%, and sits at 55.4% now — +1.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
48.1%
Range
48.1 to 55.4%
Band
7.3 points
Readings
15
Georgia State Panthers win probabilityProbability10-day average
47%49%52%54%56%55.4%Oct 8Oct 815 readings
Home

Arkansas State Red Wolves

44.6%win probability+124 equivalentProbability falling-1.5

Opened at 51.9%, has ranged 44.6 to 51.9%, and sits at 44.6% now — -1.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
51.9%
Range
44.6 to 51.9%
Band
7.3 points
Readings
15
Arkansas State Red Wolves win probabilityProbability10-day average
44%46%48%51%53%44.6%Oct 8Oct 815 readings

History includes 13 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.