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NCAAFOct 24, 2026 7:00 PM EDT16 days out

Georgia State Panthers at Arkansas State Red Wolves

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.

Overall Analysis

Georgia State Panthers at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Ayght Sports puts Georgia State Panthers at 55.4 percent and Arkansas State Red Wolves at 44.6 percent, a modest edge in favour of Georgia State Panthers. Since first published, Georgia State Panthers has moved from 48.1 to 55.4 percent and Arkansas State Red Wolves from 51.9 to 44.6 percent. That is a substantial shift over the recorded period. Model confidence on this matchup is 43 of 100.

Assembled from recorded model output only. It describes what has been published and how likely outcomes are currently considered — it is not a prediction of the result. Lineup and availability information reflects what our data providers have reported; where nothing is listed, nothing has been reported, which is not the same as confirmed availability.