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NCAAFNov 7, 2026 3:00 PM EST28 days out

UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.

Overall Analysis

UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Ayght Sports puts UL Monroe Warhawks at 23.0 percent and Arkansas State Red Wolves at 77.0 percent, a clear separation in favour of Arkansas State Red Wolves. Since first published, UL Monroe Warhawks has moved from 26.3 to 23.0 percent and Arkansas State Red Wolves from 73.7 to 77.0 percent. That is a moderate shift over the recorded period. Model confidence on this matchup is 43 of 100.

Assembled from recorded model output only. It describes what has been published and how likely outcomes are currently considered — it is not a prediction of the result. Lineup and availability information reflects what our data providers have reported; where nothing is listed, nothing has been reported, which is not the same as confirmed availability.