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NCAAFOct 8, 2026 7:00 PM EDT1 days out

Missouri State Bears at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Missouri State Bears

47.2%win probability+112 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 38.6%, has ranged 38.6 to 49.1%, and sits at 47.2% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
38.6%
Range
38.6 to 49.1%
Band
10.5 points
Readings
60
Missouri State Bears win probabilityProbability10-day average
37%40%44%47%51%47.2%Sep 10Oct 760 readings
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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

52.8%win probability-112 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 61.4%, has ranged 50.9 to 61.5%, and sits at 52.8% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
61.4%
Range
50.9 to 61.5%
Band
10.6 points
Readings
60
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers win probabilityProbability10-day average
49%53%56%60%63%52.8%Sep 10Oct 760 readings

History includes 6 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.