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NCAAFOct 20, 2026 7:30 PM EDT13 days out

South Alabama Jaguars at Marshall Thundering Herd

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

South Alabama Jaguars

53.6%win probability-116 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 53.6%, has ranged 53.6 to 53.6%, and sits at 53.6% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
53.6%
Range
53.6 to 53.6%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
31
South Alabama Jaguars win probabilityProbability10-day average
50%52%54%56%58%53.6%Sep 21Oct 731 readings
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Marshall Thundering Herd

46.4%win probability+116 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 46.4%, has ranged 46.4 to 46.4%, and sits at 46.4% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
46.4%
Range
46.4 to 46.4%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
31
Marshall Thundering Herd win probabilityProbability10-day average
43%44%46%48%50%46.4%Sep 21Oct 731 readings