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NFLOct 8, 2026 8:15 PM EDT0 days out

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

40.2%win probability+149 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 46.3%, has ranged 40.2 to 46.7%, and sits at 40.2% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
46.3%
Range
40.2 to 46.7%
Band
6.6 points
Readings
60
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win probabilityProbability10-day average
39%41%43%46%48%40.2%Sep 10Oct 760 readings
Home

Dallas Cowboys

59.8%win probability-149 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 53.7%, has ranged 53.3 to 59.8%, and sits at 59.8% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
53.7%
Range
53.3 to 59.8%
Band
6.6 points
Readings
60
Dallas Cowboys win probabilityProbability10-day average
52%54%57%59%61%59.8%Sep 10Oct 760 readings

History includes 6 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.