Ayght Sports

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NFLOct 8, 2026 8:15 PM EDT0 days out

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.

Projection calculated Oct 8, 8:07 AM EDT.

Shown for context. Starters, lineups and availability are not currently inputs to the Ayght Sports model. The probabilities above do not account for them. They are published so the assumptions can be inspected and disagreed with, not because they have been validated. The projection below is experimental.

Ayght projection — starting quarterback

Not used in game pricing

Possible starters, not confirmed ones. These are the chances each quarterback starts — they are not win probabilities and say nothing about who is expected to win the game. The model behind them is experimental and not used in pricing.

HomeDallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott 85%

Availability uncertain, roster incomplete.

No current projection for Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Nothing is estimated in its place.

Away

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Reported starter

Not yet reported.

Possible starter

No projection available.

Ayght recommended lineup

  • QBJalon Danielslow
  • RBKenny Gainwellor Bucky Irving, Sean Tuckerlow
  • WR1Emeka Egbukaor Kameron Johnson, Ted Hurst III, Tez Johnsonlow
  • WR2Kameron Johnsonor Emeka Egbuka, Ted Hurst III, Tez Johnsonlow
  • WR3Ted Hurst IIIor Emeka Egbuka, Kameron Johnson, Tez Johnsonlow
  • TECade Ottonor Payne Durham, Bauer Sharp, Ko Kieftlow

Considered: availability not recent, availability unconfirmed, depth chart, availability not confirmed, completed usage unavailable, historical team season membership not current roster, questionable availability, source freshness unknown, usage unavailable.

The lineup our model would pick for this game, not a forecast of the team’s choice. Experimental. Where a lineup has been posted, each selection is marked against it so you can judge the disagreements.

Lineup

No lineup posted yet.

Injuries

Antoine Winfield Jr.Out
SirVocea DennisOut
Benjamin MorrisonOut
Baker MayfieldOut

Squad list from a public source, not evidence scoped to this game. An empty list means nothing has been reported, not that everyone is fit.

Home

Dallas Cowboys

Reported starter

Not yet reported.

Possible starter

  • Dak Prescott provisional85.0%

Possible starters, not confirmed ones. These are independent likelihoods and do not add to 100 percent.

Ayght recommended lineup

  • QBDak Prescottor Sam Howelllow
  • RBJavonte Williamsor Hunter Luepkelow
  • WR1Ryan Flournoyor CeeDee Lamb, KaVontae Turpin, George Pickenslow
  • WR2CeeDee Lambor Ryan Flournoy, KaVontae Turpin, George Pickenslow
  • WR3KaVontae Turpinor Ryan Flournoy, CeeDee Lamb, George Pickenslow
  • TEJake Fergusonor Brevyn Spann-Ford, Luke Schoonmakerlow

Considered: availability not recent, availability unconfirmed, depth chart, availability not confirmed, completed usage unavailable, historical team season membership not current roster, missing slots, questionable availability, source freshness unknown.

The lineup our model would pick for this game, not a forecast of the team’s choice. Experimental. Where a lineup has been posted, each selection is marked against it so you can judge the disagreements.

Lineup

No lineup posted yet.

Injuries

Drew SheltonOut
Tyler SmithInjured reserve
Cobie DurantOut
DeMarvion OvershownOut
Jonathan BullardInjured reserve
Jalen ThompsonInjured reserve
Jonathan MingoQuestionable

Squad list from a public source, not evidence scoped to this game. An empty list means nothing has been reported, not that everyone is fit.

An empty section means no current licensed evidence — not a confirmed lineup, and not a clean bill of health. Where a squad list is shown in place of event-scoped evidence, it is marked as such: the two are different claims from different sources, and neither is an input to the probabilities above. Projection generated 1.5 hours ago.