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NFLOct 11, 2026 9:30 AM EDT3 days out

Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Philadelphia Eagles

41.2%win probability+143 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 41.2%, has ranged 41.2 to 41.2%, and sits at 41.2% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
41.2%
Range
41.2 to 41.2%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
45
Philadelphia Eagles win probabilityProbability10-day average
37%39%41%43%45%41.2%Sep 21Oct 845 readings
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Jacksonville Jaguars

58.8%win probability-143 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 58.9%, has ranged 58.8 to 58.9%, and sits at 58.8% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
58.9%
Range
58.8 to 58.9%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
45
Jacksonville Jaguars win probabilityProbability10-day average
55%57%59%61%63%58.8%Sep 21Oct 845 readings

History includes 12 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.