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NFLOct 11, 2026 9:30 AM EDT2 days out

Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Philadelphia Eagles

27.7%win probability+261 equivalentProbability falling-11.6

Opened at 41.2%, has ranged 27.6 to 41.2%, and sits at 27.7% now — -11.6 against its 10-day average.

Opened
41.2%
Range
27.6 to 41.2%
Band
13.6 points
Readings
74
Philadelphia Eagles win probabilityProbability10-day average
26%30%34%39%43%27.7%Sep 21Oct 974 readings
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Jacksonville Jaguars

72.4%win probability-262 equivalentProbability rising+11.7

Opened at 58.9%, has ranged 58.8 to 72.4%, and sits at 72.4% now — +11.7 against its 10-day average.

Opened
58.9%
Range
58.8 to 72.4%
Band
13.6 points
Readings
74
Jacksonville Jaguars win probabilityProbability10-day average
57%61%66%70%74%72.4%Sep 21Oct 974 readings

History includes 38 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.