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NFLOct 11, 2026 1:00 PM EDT3 days out

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Minnesota Vikings

65.6%win probability-191 equivalentProbability rising+8.9

Opened at 56.3%, has ranged 56.3 to 65.6%, and sits at 65.6% now — +8.9 against its 10-day average.

Opened
56.3%
Range
56.3 to 65.6%
Band
9.3 points
Readings
47
Minnesota Vikings win probabilityProbability10-day average
55%58%61%64%67%65.6%Sep 21Oct 847 readings
Home

New Orleans Saints

34.4%win probability+191 equivalentProbability falling-8.9

Opened at 43.7%, has ranged 34.4 to 43.7%, and sits at 34.4% now — -8.9 against its 10-day average.

Opened
43.7%
Range
34.4 to 43.7%
Band
9.3 points
Readings
47
New Orleans Saints win probabilityProbability10-day average
33%36%39%42%45%34.4%Sep 21Oct 847 readings

History includes 13 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.