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NFLOct 15, 2026 8:15 PM EDT5 days out

Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.

Projection calculated Oct 10, 9:34 AM EDT.

Shown for context. Starters, lineups and availability are not currently inputs to the Ayght Sports model. The probabilities above do not account for them. They are published so the assumptions can be inspected and disagreed with, not because they have been validated. The projection below is experimental.

Ayght projection — starting quarterback

Not used in game pricing

Possible starters, not confirmed ones. These are the chances each quarterback starts — they are not win probabilities and say nothing about who is expected to win the game. The model behind them is experimental and not used in pricing.

AwaySeattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold 85%

Availability uncertain, roster incomplete.

HomeDenver Broncos

Bo Nix 85%

Availability uncertain, roster incomplete.

Away

Seattle Seahawks

Reported starter

Not yet reported.

Possible starter

  • Sam Darnold provisional85.0%

Possible starters, not confirmed ones. These are independent likelihoods and do not add to 100 percent.

Ayght recommended lineup

  • QBNo supported selection
  • RBNo supported selection
  • WR1No supported selection
  • WR2No supported selection
  • WR3No supported selection
  • TENo supported selection

Considered: incomplete injuries, incomplete roster, missing slots, no roster evidence.

The lineup our model would pick for this game, not a forecast of the team’s choice. Experimental. Where a lineup has been posted, each selection is marked against it so you can judge the disagreements.

Lineup

No lineup posted yet.

Injuries

Chazz SurrattOut
Julian NealOut
Irv CharlesInjured reserve
Zach CharbonnetOut
George HolaniQuestionable

Squad list from a public source, not evidence scoped to this game. An empty list means nothing has been reported, not that everyone is fit.

Home

Denver Broncos

Reported starter

Not yet reported.

Possible starter

  • Bo Nix provisional85.0%

Possible starters, not confirmed ones. These are independent likelihoods and do not add to 100 percent.

Ayght recommended lineup

  • QBNo supported selection
  • RBNo supported selection
  • WR1No supported selection
  • WR2No supported selection
  • WR3No supported selection
  • TENo supported selection

Considered: incomplete injuries, incomplete roster, missing slots, no roster evidence, availability not recent.

The lineup our model would pick for this game, not a forecast of the team’s choice. Experimental. Where a lineup has been posted, each selection is marked against it so you can judge the disagreements.

Lineup

No lineup posted yet.

Injuries

Pat BryantInjured reserve
Pat Surtain IIOut
Riley MossOut
Jonah ColemanInjured reserve

Squad list from a public source, not evidence scoped to this game. An empty list means nothing has been reported, not that everyone is fit.

An empty section means no current licensed evidence — not a confirmed lineup, and not a clean bill of health. Where a squad list is shown in place of event-scoped evidence, it is marked as such: the two are different claims from different sources, and neither is an input to the probabilities above. Projection generated 2.0 hours ago.