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NFLOct 18, 2026 9:30 AM EDT8 days out

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Houston Texans

27.4%win probability+265 equivalentProbability falling-8.5

Opened at 37.3%, has ranged 27.4 to 37.3%, and sits at 27.4% now — -8.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
37.3%
Range
27.4 to 37.3%
Band
9.9 points
Readings
76
Houston Texans win probabilityProbability10-day average
26%29%32%36%39%27.4%Sep 21Oct 976 readings
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Jacksonville Jaguars

72.6%win probability-265 equivalentProbability rising+8.5

Opened at 62.7%, has ranged 62.7 to 72.6%, and sits at 72.6% now — +8.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
62.7%
Range
62.7 to 72.6%
Band
9.9 points
Readings
76
Jacksonville Jaguars win probabilityProbability10-day average
61%64%68%71%74%72.6%Sep 21Oct 976 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.