Ayght Sports

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NFLOct 18, 2026 1:00 PM EDT11 days out

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.

Projection calculated Oct 7, 9:42 AM EDT.

Shown for context. Starters, lineups and availability are not currently inputs to the Ayght Sports model. The probabilities above do not account for them. They are published so the assumptions can be inspected and disagreed with, not because they have been validated. The projection below is experimental.

Ayght projection — starting quarterback

Not used in game pricing

Possible starters, not confirmed ones. These are the chances each quarterback starts — they are not win probabilities and say nothing about who is expected to win the game. The model behind them is experimental and not used in pricing.

No current projection for Pittsburgh Steelers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Nothing is estimated in its place.

Away

Pittsburgh Steelers

Reported starter

Not yet reported.

Possible starter

No projection available.

Ayght recommended lineup

  • QBNo supported selection
  • RBNo supported selection
  • WR1No supported selection
  • WR2No supported selection
  • WR3No supported selection
  • TENo supported selection

Considered: incomplete injuries, incomplete roster, missing slots, no roster evidence.

The lineup our model would pick for this game, not a forecast of the team’s choice. Experimental. Where a lineup has been posted, each selection is marked against it so you can judge the disagreements.

Lineup

No lineup posted yet.

Injuries

Derrick HarmonInjured reserve
Rico DowdleQuestionable
Jamel DeanDoubtful

Squad list from a public source, not evidence scoped to this game. An empty list means nothing has been reported, not that everyone is fit.

Home

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Reported starter

Not yet reported.

Possible starter

No projection available.

Ayght recommended lineup

  • QBNo supported selection
  • RBNo supported selection
  • WR1No supported selection
  • WR2No supported selection
  • WR3No supported selection
  • TENo supported selection

Considered: incomplete injuries, incomplete roster, missing slots, no roster evidence.

The lineup our model would pick for this game, not a forecast of the team’s choice. Experimental. Where a lineup has been posted, each selection is marked against it so you can judge the disagreements.

Lineup

No lineup posted yet.

Injuries

Antoine Winfield Jr.Out
Baker MayfieldOut
Benjamin MorrisonQuestionable
Ko KieftQuestionable
Chase McLaughlinQuestionable
Anthony NelsonQuestionable
SirVocea DennisQuestionable

Squad list from a public source, not evidence scoped to this game. An empty list means nothing has been reported, not that everyone is fit.

An empty section means no current licensed evidence — not a confirmed lineup, and not a clean bill of health. Where a squad list is shown in place of event-scoped evidence, it is marked as such: the two are different claims from different sources, and neither is an input to the probabilities above. Projection generated 0.8 hours ago.