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NFLOct 19, 2026 8:15 PM EDT10 days out

Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Washington Commanders

17.8%win probability+462 equivalentProbability falling-2.4

Opened at 20.5%, has ranged 17.8 to 20.5%, and sits at 17.8% now — -2.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
20.5%
Range
17.8 to 20.5%
Band
2.7 points
Readings
72
Washington Commanders win probabilityProbability10-day average
15%17%19%21%23%17.8%Sep 21Oct 872 readings
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San Francisco 49ers

82.2%win probability-462 equivalentProbability rising+2.4

Opened at 79.6%, has ranged 79.6 to 82.2%, and sits at 82.2% now — +2.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
79.6%
Range
79.6 to 82.2%
Band
2.7 points
Readings
72
San Francisco 49ers win probabilityProbability10-day average
77%79%81%83%85%82.2%Sep 21Oct 872 readings

History includes 37 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.