Ayght Sports

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NFLOct 19, 2026 8:15 PM EDT10 days out

Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.

Projection calculated Oct 9, 12:00 PM EDT.

Shown for context. Starters, lineups and availability are not currently inputs to the Ayght Sports model. The probabilities above do not account for them. They are published so the assumptions can be inspected and disagreed with, not because they have been validated. The projection below is experimental.

Ayght projection — starting quarterback

Not used in game pricing

Possible starters, not confirmed ones. These are the chances each quarterback starts — they are not win probabilities and say nothing about who is expected to win the game. The model behind them is experimental and not used in pricing.

No current projection for Washington Commanders and San Francisco 49ers. Nothing is estimated in its place.

Away

Washington Commanders

Reported starter

Not yet reported.

Possible starter

No projection available.

Ayght recommended lineup

  • QBNo supported selection
  • RBNo supported selection
  • WR1No supported selection
  • WR2No supported selection
  • WR3No supported selection
  • TENo supported selection

Considered: incomplete injuries, incomplete roster, missing slots, no roster evidence.

The lineup our model would pick for this game, not a forecast of the team’s choice. Experimental. Where a lineup has been posted, each selection is marked against it so you can judge the disagreements.

Lineup

No lineup posted yet.

Injuries

Jeremy McNicholsInjured reserve
Deatrich Wise Jr.Out
Trey AmosInjured reserve
Jaylin LaneInjured reserve
Stefon DiggsQuestionable
Terry McLaurinQuestionable
Nick CrossQuestionable
Charles OmenihuQuestionable
Chig OkonkwoQuestionable
Rachaad WhiteQuestionable
Jacory Croskey-MerrittQuestionable
Frankie LuvuQuestionable
Nick AllegrettiQuestionable
Percy ButlerQuestionable
Marcus MariotaDoubtful
Sam CosmiQuestionable

Squad list from a public source, not evidence scoped to this game. An empty list means nothing has been reported, not that everyone is fit.

Home

San Francisco 49ers

Reported starter

Not yet reported.

Possible starter

No projection available.

Ayght recommended lineup

  • QBNo supported selection
  • RBNo supported selection
  • WR1No supported selection
  • WR2No supported selection
  • WR3No supported selection
  • TENo supported selection

Considered: incomplete injuries, incomplete roster, missing slots, no roster evidence.

The lineup our model would pick for this game, not a forecast of the team’s choice. Experimental. Where a lineup has been posted, each selection is marked against it so you can judge the disagreements.

Lineup

No lineup posted yet.

Injuries

Marques SigleOut
Kyle JuszczykOut
Christian KirkInjured reserve
Mike EvansQuestionable
Upton StoutQuestionable
James Thompson Jr.Doubtful
Nick BosaDoubtful

Squad list from a public source, not evidence scoped to this game. An empty list means nothing has been reported, not that everyone is fit.

An empty section means no current licensed evidence — not a confirmed lineup, and not a clean bill of health. Where a squad list is shown in place of event-scoped evidence, it is marked as such: the two are different claims from different sources, and neither is an input to the probabilities above. Projection generated 0.6 hours ago.