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NFLOct 25, 2026 8:20 PM EDT16 days out

Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Kansas City Chiefs

43.1%win probability+132 equivalentProbability rising+0.8

Opened at 34.7%, has ranged 34.7 to 43.1%, and sits at 43.1% now — +0.8 against its 10-day average.

Opened
34.7%
Range
34.7 to 43.1%
Band
8.4 points
Readings
30
Kansas City Chiefs win probabilityProbability10-day average
33%36%39%42%44%43.1%Oct 8Oct 830 readings
Home

Seattle Seahawks

56.9%win probability-132 equivalentProbability falling-0.8

Opened at 65.3%, has ranged 56.9 to 65.3%, and sits at 56.9% now — -0.8 against its 10-day average.

Opened
65.3%
Range
56.9 to 65.3%
Band
8.4 points
Readings
30
Seattle Seahawks win probabilityProbability10-day average
56%58%61%64%67%56.9%Oct 8Oct 830 readings

History includes 27 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.