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NFLNov 1, 2026 1:00 PM EST23 days out

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Atlanta Falcons

49.3%win probability+103 equivalentProbability falling-0.8

Opened at 36.0%, has ranged 36.0 to 52.2%, and sits at 49.3% now — -0.8 against its 10-day average.

Opened
36.0%
Range
36.0 to 52.2%
Band
16.2 points
Readings
33
Atlanta Falcons win probabilityProbability10-day average
34%39%44%49%55%49.3%Oct 8Oct 933 readings
Home

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

50.8%win probability-103 equivalentProbability rising+0.9

Opened at 64.0%, has ranged 47.8 to 64.0%, and sits at 50.8% now — +0.9 against its 10-day average.

Opened
64.0%
Range
47.8 to 64.0%
Band
16.2 points
Readings
33
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win probabilityProbability10-day average
45%51%56%61%66%50.8%Oct 8Oct 933 readings

History includes 29 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.