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NFLNov 1, 2026 1:00 PM EST23 days out

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Indianapolis Colts

27.9%win probability+258 equivalentProbability falling-0.2

Opened at 29.4%, has ranged 27.9 to 29.4%, and sits at 27.9% now — -0.2 against its 10-day average.

Opened
29.4%
Range
27.9 to 29.4%
Band
1.5 points
Readings
30
Indianapolis Colts win probabilityProbability10-day average
25%27%29%31%33%27.9%Oct 8Oct 830 readings
Home

Jacksonville Jaguars

72.1%win probability-258 equivalentProbability rising+0.2

Opened at 70.6%, has ranged 70.6 to 72.1%, and sits at 72.1% now — +0.2 against its 10-day average.

Opened
70.6%
Range
70.6 to 72.1%
Band
1.5 points
Readings
30
Jacksonville Jaguars win probabilityProbability10-day average
67%69%71%73%75%72.1%Oct 8Oct 830 readings

History includes 27 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.