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NFLNov 1, 2026 1:00 PM EST23 days out

Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Las Vegas Raiders

57.7%win probability-136 equivalentProbability rising+0.5

Opened at 51.0%, has ranged 51.0 to 57.8%, and sits at 57.7% now — +0.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
51.0%
Range
51.0 to 57.8%
Band
6.8 points
Readings
36
Las Vegas Raiders win probabilityProbability10-day average
50%52%54%57%59%57.7%Oct 8Oct 936 readings
Home

New York Jets

42.3%win probability+136 equivalentProbability falling-0.5

Opened at 49.0%, has ranged 42.2 to 49.0%, and sits at 42.3% now — -0.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
49.0%
Range
42.2 to 49.0%
Band
6.8 points
Readings
36
New York Jets win probabilityProbability10-day average
41%43%46%48%50%42.3%Oct 8Oct 936 readings

History includes 32 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.