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NFLNov 1, 2026 4:25 PM EST21 days out

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

New England Patriots

66.1%win probability-195 equivalentProbability falling-0.4

Opened at 74.6%, has ranged 66.1 to 74.6%, and sits at 66.1% now — -0.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
74.6%
Range
66.1 to 74.6%
Band
8.5 points
Readings
46
New England Patriots win probabilityProbability10-day average
65%68%70%73%76%66.1%Oct 8Oct 1046 readings
Home

Miami Dolphins

33.9%win probability+195 equivalentProbability rising+0.4

Opened at 25.4%, has ranged 25.4 to 33.9%, and sits at 33.9% now — +0.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
25.4%
Range
25.4 to 33.9%
Band
8.5 points
Readings
46
Miami Dolphins win probabilityProbability10-day average
24%27%30%32%35%33.9%Oct 8Oct 1046 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.