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NFLNov 1, 2026 4:25 PM EST22 days out

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.

Overall Analysis

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

Ayght Sports puts New England Patriots at 66.1 percent and Miami Dolphins at 33.9 percent, a clear separation in favour of New England Patriots. Since first published, New England Patriots has moved from 74.6 to 66.1 percent and Miami Dolphins from 25.4 to 33.9 percent. That is a substantial shift over the recorded period. Model confidence on this matchup is 30 of 100.

50 players carry an availability report. The Matchup tab has the detail.

Assembled from recorded model output only. It describes what has been published and how likely outcomes are currently considered — it is not a prediction of the result. Lineup and availability information reflects what our data providers have reported; where nothing is listed, nothing has been reported, which is not the same as confirmed availability.