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NHLOct 8, 2026 7:00 PM EDT0 days out

Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Minnesota Wild

46.0%win probability+117 equivalentProbability rising+1.4

Opened at 42.2%, has ranged 42.1 to 46.1%, and sits at 46.0% now — +1.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
42.2%
Range
42.1 to 46.1%
Band
4.0 points
Readings
77
Minnesota Wild win probabilityProbability10-day average
40%42%44%46%48%46.0%Sep 10Oct 877 readings
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Tampa Bay Lightning

54.0%win probability-117 equivalentProbability falling-1.4

Opened at 57.8%, has ranged 53.9 to 57.9%, and sits at 54.0% now — -1.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
57.8%
Range
53.9 to 57.9%
Band
4.0 points
Readings
77
Tampa Bay Lightning win probabilityProbability10-day average
52%54%56%58%60%54.0%Sep 10Oct 877 readings

History includes 22 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.