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NHLOct 8, 2026 9:00 PM EDT0 days out

Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Colorado Avalanche

66.7%win probability-200 equivalentProbability rising+6.5

Opened at 72.2%, has ranged 59.8 to 72.2%, and sits at 66.7% now — +6.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
72.2%
Range
59.8 to 72.2%
Band
12.4 points
Readings
74
Colorado Avalanche win probabilityProbability10-day average
58%62%66%70%74%66.7%Sep 10Oct 874 readings
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Calgary Flames

33.3%win probability+200 equivalentProbability falling-6.5

Opened at 27.8%, has ranged 27.8 to 40.2%, and sits at 33.3% now — -6.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
27.8%
Range
27.8 to 40.2%
Band
12.4 points
Readings
74
Calgary Flames win probabilityProbability10-day average
26%30%34%38%42%33.3%Sep 10Oct 874 readings

History includes 19 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.