Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights
How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Toronto Maple Leafs
39.4%win probability+154 equivalentProbability falling-2.0
Opened at 36.1%, has ranged 36.1 to 41.5%, and sits at 39.4% now — -2.0 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 36.1%
- Range
- 36.1 to 41.5%
- Band
- 5.4 points
- Readings
- 73
Toronto Maple Leafs win probabilityProbability10-day average
Vegas Golden Knights
60.6%win probability-154 equivalentProbability rising+2.0
Opened at 63.9%, has ranged 58.5 to 63.9%, and sits at 60.6% now — +2.0 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 63.9%
- Range
- 58.5 to 63.9%
- Band
- 5.4 points
- Readings
- 73
Vegas Golden Knights win probabilityProbability10-day average
History includes 18 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.